2020 for the Humanities
2020 and Then Some: The Future History of the Humanities

Mr. History. (2006, November 30). Mr. History’s Photostream. Retrieved December 14, 2007, from http://www.flickr.com/photos/57669468@N00/310196051/
The Humanities is not a field generally understood to be forward-looking. Most of what we cover in Humanities classes is concerned with the past – what was life like during the time of Homer, or Shakespeare, or Confucius, or the Buddha. The most forward looking question we usually ask is, how is the present in which we now live shaped by its past? It might seem that a blog devoted to the study and teaching of the Humanities is not very well suited to exploring the future.
But when I started this blog under the title “The Humanities Holodeck,” it wasn’t just a labored attempt to be both cute and alliterative. I was hoping that the blog would be a place where I and others could imagine the ways teaching and learning in the Humanities would reshape under the pressure of new technologies. There seem to be so many possibilities. The one technology-powered dream I’ve had consistently is the holographic classroom experience dream – the one in which I bring a full-sized three dimensional image of Michelangelo’s David – all thirteen feet of it, not including its pedestal – in all of its majesty, beauty, and undeniable power, into the middle of my classroom, to let students see for themselves how a piece of marble can become a life-changing experience. I still hope to see my students having that kind of direct and immediate experience, but based on what I’ve been learning, I think I’ve been dreaming in the wrong direction. I don’t think that Michelangelo will come to me. I think now that it’s far more likely that the schools will be the ones to start moving. The physical limitations that squeezed my first experience of the David into a 8 by 10 inch picture in a textbook may indeed fade, but it won’t be because the David will duck his head to fit into the classroom; it’ll be because the classroom ceiling and walls will fall away.
I expect the first schools to start losing wallboard will be the graduate and professional schools, since their students tend to be adult, self-directed, and motivated. These students are likely to choose a highly technologized education without waiting for the system to give them permission – they are already doing so – and the schools will get dragged into it by their students. Next will be high schools and undergraduate college programs in core curricula – those with a relatively large percentage of their instruction delivered by scholar-at-podium-in-huge-lecture-hall type standard lectures. This too is already happening. Right now I can get lectures by top scholars from major universities delivered to my computer and iPod through iTunes’s podcast offerings. In a series of YouTube videos, Ray Kurzweil, noted futurist and entrepreneur, tells us that MIT is now starting an “open courseware program to provide all MIT courses available for free on the Internet” (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IcGLquxsfdM&feature=related). With podcasts, vodcasts, and so many other online resources available at students’ fingertips, basic educational opportunities can no longer be determined purely by location. As students and students’ parents start to recognize this, schools will have to follow, particularly as the corporate world starts to accept as valid these forms of education, and starts to hire people educated this way. For a while at least, probably for a long while, primary education will remain local and classroom-based. Most parents of small children will likely be fairly hesitant to depend on computer-based education. Working parents will need someone to supervise their child, and there will be concerns about socialization skills. So I don’t expect local elementary schools to drop away. Quite the contrary – they will be all the more needed to train children in the basic skills of reading, writing, and math, and in computer and technology skills they’ll need at the upper levels and in the workplace.
Eventually, perhaps as soon as 2020, we might have only two types of localized, class-based education left – the primary school, and the small seminar, mainly existing in elite institutions of higher education. Unfortunately, I suspect that eventually the small seminar format will become a luxury – the educational version of the gated community, reserved for the upper tier and the privileged. I can imagine that participants of these symposia would see themselves as members of an exclusive society, those who can afford to pursue artistic and intellectual interests unsullied by the crass necessity to apply what one is talking about to the real world. Such a structure might have a blog for continuing a discussion, but I can’t imagine that the blog would be open to the Web as a whole, nor would its participants favor using Web-based technologies for anything but what couldn’t be avoided, like making airplane reservations. They would survive as a bastion of tradition, elitism, the old ivy-covered ivory tower, and good old gaudiamus igitur. Bless their hearts, and let the ivy grow over their giant, wood-burning fireplace mantels and overstuffed leather chairs. Some things just don’t change.
So where would that leave the Humanities? Is it to be consigned to one of those ivory tower rooms, priding itself on its own isolation? I hope not. I have to think not. Here’s what I see as the dual role of Humanities education in the future that I have described: as it has been and will be – the preserver of what is best about the past so that best is not lost amid change, and as the means by which we envision what is human in our future. The kinds of technological change described and promoted by Siemen’s connectivism carry enormous potential for good, as is charmingly envisioned by Karl Fisch (http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=7281108124087435381), but there are also dangers. The Humanities can help to remind us of what we could lose, and what we ought to protect.
Danger #1 – We are in danger of losing our privacy. As we become more connected, we become more traceable. We already know that Google and Amazon keep a careful eye on our online doings. So far, it’s not been a problem. I like getting notices of new publications in subjects I care about, especially as the system gets better and better at predicting what I really want to know about. But it’s a bit creepy to know that somewhere there’s a database with my name on it, containing everything I’ve every asked about online. Someday, it might become more than creepy. It might become scary, if the information is misused. The study of the Humanities might help us remember why there are guarantees written into the Constitution to prevent unwarranted searches.
Danger #2 – We are in danger of losing our capacity to function independently. Connectivity is wonderful. Cooperation is a good thing. Art by committee is not. Really original art and science are not usually the products of group think. In a world in which we are expected to act and think as “nodes” in a connectivist network, we will need to hold on to the possibility of saying no. The Humanities offers us Van Gogh and Da Vinci, Socrates, Martin Luther, Thoreau, Mary Wollstonecraft, and Gandhi. These were not go-along-to-get-along people. We can’t forget them, nor afford to forget why we need them.
Danger #3 – We are in danger of becoming more and more factionalized, through social networking. Earlier in a discussion post, I spoke of James Madison’s Federalist Papers, and of his fear of factions, that we would now call “special interests”. According to Madison, human beings will always form factions when they are free to do so, and factions will try to manipulate power. The more powerful factions grow, the less well a democracy can operate for the good of all. If Madison had known about the Web and its ability to allow people with common interests to combine and organize, he would have screamed out a warning. He still can, if we listen.
The Humanities is therefore something of a set of brakes, but it’s also a steering wheel. Knowing where we have been and where we are, which is all we really can know, helps us determine the direction we can go. We need to understand our own culture and the other cultures of the world. Without that, as we walk ahead, we walk blind.
So the necessity is still there, but the ways in which the Humanities can and must be learned have to accept the potential power of new media. If the David can’t yet fit into my classroom, I can fit the class into a computer, using Skype, and teleport us all to Florence. That’s not such a bad thing, after all.
Ray Kurzweil’s interviews on the future of technology in education:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IcGLquxsfdM&feature=related
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AWWW0tLtskk&feature=related
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HWOoCyV77zk&feature=related

